Will Trump's Speech to the Nation last 30 minutes or longer? Odds fell to 1% on Jul 17, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: No
Will Trump's Speech to the Nation last 30 minutes or longer? On , the market’s odds fell from 37.5¢ to 1¢ (-36.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from foxnews.com. The market has since resolved No.
How did the odds move?
37.5¢
39¢
52.5¢
1¢
-36.5 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
What moved the odds?
Nofoxnews.com95%match
Live: Trump speech expected to last about 23 minutes as White House prepares document release
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
$12K
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Will Trump's Speech to the Nation last 30 minutes or longer? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for How long will Trump’s Speech to the Nation be? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.