Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in August? Odds fell to 17% on Aug 17, 2026

OpenMove

Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in August? On , the market’s odds fell from 28.3¢ to 17.4¢ (-10.9 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from nytimes.com.

How did the odds move?

At match28.3¢
+5m22.6¢
+30m25¢
+1h17.4¢
+24h13.7¢
1h move-10.9 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Aug 17, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 29.5¢ → 17.4¢-12.1 ptsafter a signal from CNN Reporter
  • 23.1¢ → 15¢-8 ptsafter a signal from Russian Media
  • 24.5¢ → 15.2¢-9.2 ptsafter a signal from sedaily.com

What moved the odds?

Neutralnytimes.com94%match
Live: Trump says that Kim Jong-un, the North Korean leader, has responded to the decision that Trump made on Sunday to reduce joint military exercises with South Korea, a longtime U.S. ally — though Trump would not reveal exactly what Kim Jong-un’s response was.

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 2% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES2¢
NO98¢

Vol$7K

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Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in August? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Who will Trump speak to in August? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.