Will Trump say "Ukraine," "Russia," or "Iran" 15+ times during press conference? Odds jumped to 39% on Jul 8, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: No
Will Trump say "Ukraine," "Russia," or "Iran" 15+ times during press conference? On , the market’s odds jumped from 27¢ to 39¢ (+12 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Iran Semi-Official SNN. The market has since resolved No.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Jul 8, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 27¢ → 39¢+12 ptsafter a signal from nytimes.com
- 27¢ → 39¢+12 ptsafter a signal from nypost.com
- 27¢ → 44.5¢+17.5 ptsafter a signal from bbc.com
- 27¢ → 44.5¢+17.5 ptsafter a signal from entekhab_news
- 27¢ → 39¢+12 ptsafter a signal from aljazeera.com
- 28.5¢ → 17¢-11.5 ptsafter a signal from theguardian.com
- 28¢ → 43¢+15 ptsafter a signal from iranin_arabic
- 28¢ → 43¢+15 ptsafter a signal from Sky News Arabia
- 28¢ → 43¢+15 ptsafter a signal from French Media
- 28¢ → 43¢+15 ptsafter a signal from aljazeera.com
- 28¢ → 43¢+15 ptsafter a signal from News
- 28¢ → 42¢+14 ptsafter a signal from abcnews.com
What moved the odds?
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
$2K
Follow this market
Will Trump say "Ukraine," "Russia," or "Iran" 15+ times during press conference? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for What will Trump say during Press Conference in Turkey? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.