Will Trump say "NATO" 10+ times during press conference? Odds jumped to 61% on Jul 8, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: No
Will Trump say "NATO" 10+ times during press conference? On , the market’s odds jumped from 25¢ to 60.5¢ (+35.5 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 4-source news cluster, from afp.com. The market has since resolved No.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Jul 8, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 25¢ → 60.5¢+35.5 ptsafter a signal from Al Jazeera
- 25¢ → 60.5¢+35.5 ptsafter a signal from Al Jazeera Mubasher
- 25¢ → 60.5¢+35.5 ptsafter a signal from nytimes.com
- 25.5¢ → 61.5¢+36 ptsafter a signal from cnn.com
- 25.5¢ → 61.5¢+36 ptsafter a signal from AFP Reporter
- 25.5¢ → 62¢+36.5 ptsafter a signal from whitehouse
- 25.5¢ → 62¢+36.5 ptsafter a signal from nypost.com
- 25.5¢ → 61.5¢+36 ptsafter a signal from almayadeenlive
What moved the odds?
Part of a 4-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
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Will Trump say "NATO" 10+ times during press conference? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for What will Trump say during Press Conference in Turkey? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.