Will Trump say "Million," "Billion," or "Trillion" 20+ times during press conference? Odds fell to 60% on Jul 8, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will Trump say "Million," "Billion," or "Trillion" 20+ times during press conference? On , the market’s odds fell from 78¢ to 59.5¢ (-18.5 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from nikkei. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match78¢
+5m78¢
+30m78¢
+1h59.5¢
1h move-18.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

Neutralnikkei98%match
NY Dow temporarily falls 600 points after Trump's "end of ceasefire" remarks trigger risk aversion

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$1K

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Will Trump say "Million," "Billion," or "Trillion" 20+ times during press conference? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for What will Trump say during Press Conference in Turkey? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.