Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Turkish president? Odds jumped to 100% on Jul 7, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Turkish president? On , the market’s odds jumped from 72.5¢ to 99.6¢ (+27.1 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from foxnews.com. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match72.5¢
+5m72.5¢
+30m99.5¢
+1h99.6¢
1h move+27.1 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 7, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 72.5¢ → 99.6¢+27.1 ptsafter a signal from nytimes.com
  • 72.5¢ → 99.6¢+27.1 ptsafter a signal from aljazeera.com
  • 72.5¢ → 99.6¢+27.1 ptsafter a signal from Iranian Media
  • 72.5¢ → 99.6¢+27.1 ptsafter a signal from Iranian Media
  • 72.5¢ → 99.6¢+27.1 ptsafter a signal from Russian Media
  • 72.5¢ → 99.6¢+27.1 ptsafter a signal from lefigaro.fr
  • 72.5¢ → 99.6¢+27.1 ptsafter a signal from Iran State News Agency
  • 72.5¢ → 99.6¢+27.1 ptsafter a signal from anadoluajansi
  • 72.5¢ → 99.6¢+27.1 ptsafter a signal from cbsnews.com
  • 72.5¢ → 99.6¢+27.1 ptsafter a signal from Times Reporter
  • 72.5¢ → 99.6¢+27.1 ptsafter a signal from alarabiya
  • 72.5¢ → 99.6¢+27.1 ptsafter a signal from farsnews_agency

What moved the odds?

Yesfoxnews.com99%match
Live: Trump says he was ‘testing’ NATO allies with war against Iran

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$2K

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Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Turkish president? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for What will Trump say during bilateral meeting with Turkish President? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.