Will Trump make no announcement for the next FDA commissioner by December 31? Odds fell to 1% on Aug 19, 2026

Will Trump make no announcement for the next FDA commissioner by December 31? On Aug 19, 2026, 00:23 UTC, the market’s odds fell from 31.9¢ to 0.5¢ (-31.4 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from dbws.io. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Aug 19, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

• Aug 19, 2026, 00:27 UTC25.5¢ → 0.7¢-24.8 ptsafter a signal from livesquawk

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen Aug 19, 2026, 00:36 UTC. The triggering signal is listed first.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of Aug 30, 2026, 15:49 UTC.

Vol$4K

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Will Trump make no announcement for the next FDA commissioner by December 31? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.