Will Trump fly in original Air Force 1 again this month? Odds fell to 14% on Jul 10, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will Trump fly in original Air Force 1 again this month? On , the market’s odds fell from 22.5¢ to 14¢ (-8.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from iranintlbrk. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match22.5¢
+5m22¢
+30m22.5¢
+1h14¢
+24h26.5¢
1h move-8.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Neutraliranintlbrk99%match
The New York Times, citing several American officials, wrote: The new Air Force One aircraft, which Trump traveled to Turkey on earlier this week, lacks some of the older model's counter-defense equipment, including advanced anti-missile capabilities.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$2K

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Will Trump fly in original Air Force 1 again this month? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.