Will Tom Horne be the Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican nominee? Odds jumped to 10% on Jul 22, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will Tom Horne be the Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican nominee? On , the market’s odds jumped from 0.6¢ to 9.7¢ (+9.1 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from Decision Desk (DDHQ). The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match0.6¢
+5m0.6¢
+30m0.6¢
+1h9.7¢
+24h0.1¢
1h move+9.1 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 22, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 0.6¢ → 9.4¢+8.9 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

NoDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 63% in): Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican Primary • • Kimberly Yee (R): 209,782 (54.4%) • Tom Horne (R): 176,101 (45.6%) • • Follow more results here: •

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$4K

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Will Tom Horne be the Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican nominee? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.