Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 31, 2026? Odds fell to 61% on Aug 20, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 31, 2026? On , the market’s odds fell from 72.5¢ to 61¢ (-11.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from iranintl. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match72.5¢
+5m65¢
+30m61.5¢
+1h61¢
1h move-11.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Yesiranintl96%match
Yemeni Houthi spokesman Yahya Saree announced on Thursday, August 10, that the group had targeted Saudi Arabia's Najran airport and Aramco facilities in Najran with two drones. The Yemeni Houthi spokesman said that "both operations were carried out successfully" and that the attacks were carried out in response to "violations of the airspace of Saada province by Saudi drones." He also said: "We will continue to confront any violation of Yemeni sovereignty."

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$12K

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Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 31, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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