Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 50 bps or more at the July 2026 meeting? Odds fell to 0% on Jul 23, 2026

Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 50 bps or more at the July 2026 meeting? On Jul 23, 2026, 13:05 UTC, the market’s odds fell from 20.1¢ to 0.1¢ (-20 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from Reuters. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen Jul 23, 2026, 13:05 UTC. The triggering signal is listed first.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of Aug 30, 2026, 22:20 UTC.

Vol$3K

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Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 50 bps or more at the July 2026 meeting? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for South African Reserve Bank decision in July? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.