Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? Odds fell to 78% on Nov 3, 2026
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Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? On , the market’s odds fell from 94¢ to 77.5¢ (-16.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from 47news.jp.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Nov 3, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 94¢ → 75.5¢-18.5 ptsafter a signal from Russian state TV
- 94¢ → 76.5¢-17.5 ptsafter a signal from Russian Media - MOD
What moved the odds?
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 88% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
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Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
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