Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? Odds jumped to 46% on Oct 4, 2026

The US has proposed holding a trilateral meeting between Ukraine, Russia and the US by the end of October, — Zelensky The President reported that he had spoken with the American negotiating team the day before. Ukraine is ready to support such a format and is open to holding a meeting in the UAE or another country proposed by the American side. The American side is in contact with Ukraine and Russia today and proposes to hold a meeting at the technical level in a trilateral format by the end of October. At the same time, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said that Ukraine urgently needs assistance, especially in the field of air defense. According to him, the necessary weapons should be produced as soon as possible. Merz also said that since arriving in Kyiv, he had already experienced three air alerts and noted the reliability of the Ukrainian warning system.