Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 28 and October 4, 2026? Odds fell to 7% on Sep 24, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 28 and October 4, 2026? On , the market’s odds fell from 18.3¢ to 6.5¢ (-11.8 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from Reuters. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match18.3¢
+5m12.7¢
+30m11.9¢
+1h6.5¢
+24h3.7¢
1h move-11.8 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

YesReuters94%match
Google Nears Release of Flagship Gemini 4 AI Model- the Information

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$30K

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Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 28 and October 4, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.