Will the Left Party (V) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? Odds jumped to 40% on Sep 13, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will the Left Party (V) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? On , the market’s odds jumped from 31¢ to 39.5¢ (+8.5 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from france24.com. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match31¢
+5m32.5¢
+30m32¢
+1h39.5¢
+24h0.1¢
1h move+8.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

Neutralfrance24.com95%match
Swedish parliamentary elections: the left in the lead, the far right in decline according to exit poll results

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$13K

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Will the Left Party (V) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.