Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? Odds fell to 88% on Sep 15, 2026

OpenMoveSep 15, 2026, 02:39 UTC

Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? On Sep 15, 2026, 02:39 UTC, the market’s odds fell from 96.5¢ to 87.6¢ (-8.9 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from nytimes.com.

How did the odds move?

At match96.5¢

+5m97.4¢

+1h87.6¢

1h move-8.9 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Yesnytimes.com96%match

Live: Stephen Colbert with his Emmys.

Sep 15, 2026, 02:39 UTC

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 98% chance that this market resolves YES, as of Sep 15, 2026, 03:40 UTC.

YES98¢

NO2¢

Vol$87K

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Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.