Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200? Odds fell to 12% on Sep 9, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200? On , the market’s odds fell from 29.5¢ to 11.5¢ (-18 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Bloomberg Reporter. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match29.5¢
+5m29.5¢
+30m29.5¢
+1h11.5¢
1h move-18 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Sep 9, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 11.9¢ → 0.1¢-11.8 ptsafter a signal from dbws.io
  • 12¢ → 0.1¢-11.9 ptsafter a signal from axios.com
  • 8.7¢ → 0.1¢-8.6 ptsafter a signal from Reuters
  • 9.1¢ → 0.1¢-9 ptsafter a signal from News
  • 9.1¢ → 0.1¢-9 ptsafter a signal from livesquawk
  • 11.1¢ → 0.1¢-11 ptsafter a signal from axios.com
  • 11.1¢ → 0.1¢-11 ptsafter a signal from dbws.io
  • 11.1¢ → 0.1¢-11 ptsafter a signal from faststocknewss
  • 10.7¢ → 0.1¢-10.6 ptsafter a signal from cls.cn
  • 10.5¢ → 0.1¢-10.4 ptsafter a signal from Ukrainian Media

What moved the odds?

NoBloomberg Reporter97%match
Apple landed on the iPhone Duo name for the foldable iPhone and a $2,000 starting price, eating the additional memory costs. Storage capacities will reach 2 terabytes and roughly $3,000. It’ll ship in October, has support for the Apple Pencil and come in dark blue + white.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$54K

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Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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