Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000? Odds fell to 51% on Sep 9, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000? On , the market’s odds fell from 88.5¢ to 50.5¢ (-38 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Bloomberg Reporter. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match88.5¢
+5m88.5¢
+30m87.5¢
+1h50.5¢
1h move-38 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Sep 9, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 88.5¢ → 50.5¢-38 ptsafter a signal from Bloomberg Reporter
  • 34.5¢ → 22¢-12.5 ptsafter a signal from theverge.com
  • 32¢ → 23¢-9 ptsafter a signal from dbws.io
  • 33¢ → 24.5¢-8.5 ptsafter a signal from stockmktnewz
  • 39¢ → 28¢-11 ptsafter a signal from ft.com
  • 42¢ → 33¢-9 ptsafter a signal from axios
  • 36¢ → 0.1¢-35.9 ptsafter a signal from dbws.io
  • 31.5¢ → 0.1¢-31.4 ptsafter a signal from axios.com
  • 29.5¢ → 0.1¢-29.4 ptsafter a signal from Reuters
  • 26¢ → 0.1¢-25.9 ptsafter a signal from Sky News Arabia
  • 26.5¢ → 0.1¢-26.4 ptsafter a signal from News
  • 26.5¢ → 0.1¢-26.4 ptsafter a signal from livesquawk

What moved the odds?

YesBloomberg Reporter98%match
NEW: The Five Biggest Things to Watch Out for at Apple’s Big Event — The debut of Ternus; a $2,000-and-up foldable iPhone Duo; an iPhone 18 Pro line with big camera upgrades; Apple Watch updates and AirPods 5; and iPhone price increases.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$130K

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Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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