Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? Odds jumped to 100% on Aug 27, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: Yes
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? On , the market’s odds jumped from 55¢ to 100¢ (+45 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 4-source news cluster, from dbnews. The market has since resolved Yes.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Aug 27, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 55¢ → 100¢+45 ptsafter a signal from Reuters
- 55¢ → 100¢+45 ptsafter a signal from yna.co.kr
- 90¢ → 100¢+10 ptsafter a signal from chosun.com
- 90¢ → 100¢+10 ptsafter a signal from biz.chosun.com
What moved the odds?
Part of a 4-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
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Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for Bank of Korea decision in August? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.