Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? Odds jumped to 100% on Sep 1, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: Yes
Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? On , the market’s odds jumped from 15.5¢ to 100¢ (+84.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Reuters. The market has since resolved Yes.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Sep 1, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 90¢ → 100¢+10 ptsafter a signal from News
What moved the odds?
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
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Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
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