Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.42% in September? Odds jumped to 72% on Sep 15, 2026

OpenMove

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.42% in September? On , the market’s odds jumped from 56.5¢ to 71.5¢ (+15 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from cls.cn.

How did the odds move?

At match56.5¢
+5m57.5¢
+30m72.5¢
+1h71.5¢
1h move+15 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Neutralcls.cn97%match
The yield on the 30-year US Treasury note broke through 5.40%, reaching a new high since 2007.

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 57% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES57¢
NO43¢

Vol$568

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Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.42% in September? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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