Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.39% in September? Odds jumped to 73% on Sep 23, 2026

OpenMove

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.39% in September? On , the market’s odds jumped from 56.5¢ to 73¢ (+16.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Walter Bloomberg.

How did the odds move?

At match56.5¢
+5m60¢
+30m56¢
+1h73¢
1h move+16.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NeutralWalter Bloomberg96%match
THIRTY-YEAR TREASURY YIELD REACHES 5.367%, ON PACE FOR HIGHEST SETTLEMENT SINCE JUNE 2004

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 59% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES59¢
NO41¢

Vol$9K

Follow this market

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.39% in September? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.