Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $41B? Odds fell to 6% on Jul 13, 2026

Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $41B? On Jul 13, 2026, 05:30 UTC, the market’s odds fell from 16.5¢ to 6¢ (-10.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Reuters. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 13, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

• Jul 13, 2026, 05:31 UTC16.5¢ → 6¢-10.5 ptsafter a signal from Reuters

What moved the odds?

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of Aug 30, 2026, 18:14 UTC.

Vol$5K

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