Will Tadej Pogačar finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France? Odds fell to 62% on Jul 25, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Tadej Pogačar finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France? On , the market’s odds fell from 91.8¢ to 62.3¢ (-29.4 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Channel 12 (N12). The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match91.8¢
+5m91.8¢
+30m92.9¢
+1h62.3¢
+24h57¢
1h move-29.4 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 25, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 62.3¢ → 87.7¢+25.4 ptsafter a signal from telegraph.co.uk

What moved the odds?

YesChannel 12 (N12)96%match
Ben Goldfreund For the third time in a row and the fifth of his career: Tadej Pogčar secured victory in the Tour de France with one stage remaining. The 27-year-old Slovenian, who rides for the UAE Team, is proving to be a complete master of the sport

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$1000

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Will Tadej Pogačar finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Tour De France 2026: Top 3 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.