Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Odds fell to 84% on Sep 4, 2026

OpenMove

Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? On , the market’s odds fell from 93.4¢ to 84.2¢ (-9.2 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Iranian Media.

How did the odds move?

At match93.4¢
+5m93.5¢
+1h84.2¢
1h move-9.2 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

YesIranian Media97%match
Witkoff and Kushner head to Moscow and Kiev; Washington's new move to end the Ukraine war Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner will travel to Moscow and then Kiev on September 5th and 6th to strengthen US efforts to mediate and resolve the Ukraine conflict. Read the full text in the link below... @Nournews_ir

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 93% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES93¢
NO7¢

Vol$9K

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Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Who will visit Ukraine by December 31? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.