Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Odds jumped to 61% on Aug 31, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 41¢ to 61¢ (+20 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Ukrainian Media. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match41¢
+5m62¢
+30m51¢
+1h61¢
+24h78¢
1h move+20 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Aug 31, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 51¢ → 64.5¢+13.5 ptsafter a signal from Reuters Reporter

What moved the odds?

YesUkrainian Media95%match
Ukraine and the United States agree on the date of the visit of Trump representatives to Ukraine, — Zelensky The President had a telephone conversation with Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner. According to him, the dialogue between the negotiating teams is ongoing, and now the parties are discussing the date of the trip. This trip would be very useful for working out solutions for peace, — Zelensky noted. He also told Trump representatives about the Russian air strikes and the situation on the front. According to the President, Russia's achievements are insignificant and are being given to it at the cost of huge losses. The teams will remain in touch to work out the agenda and schedule of further contacts. Add News.LIVE as a reliable news source on Google

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$24K

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Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Who will visit Ukraine by December 31? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.