Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Odds jumped to 78% on Jul 30, 2026

OpenMove

Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 67¢ to 78¢ (+11 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from RFE/RL Reporter.

How did the odds move?

At match67¢
+5m67¢
+30m78.5¢
+1h78¢
+24h71¢
1h move+11 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 30, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 67¢ → 78¢+11 ptsafter a signal from Ukrainian Media

What moved the odds?

YesRFE/RL Reporter98%match
SCOOP: Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner are expected in Kyiv in the second half of August for events marking the 35th anniversary of Ukraine's independence, two sources familiar with the plans tell me.

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 43% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES43¢
NO57¢

Vol$6K

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Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Who will visit Ukraine by December 31? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.