Will Starmer say "Violent" or "Violence" during the next PMQ? Odds jumped to 95% on Jul 15, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Starmer say "Violent" or "Violence" during the next PMQ? On , the market’s odds jumped from 32¢ to 95¢ (+63 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from theguardian.com. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match32¢
+5m67¢
+30m65.5¢
+1h95¢
1h move+63 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 15, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 32¢ → 95¢+63 ptsafter a signal from theguardian.com

What moved the odds?

Neutraltheguardian.com98%match
Live: Lindsay Hoyle , the speaker, introduces this session as the final PMQs of this parliamentary session, and Keir Starmer’s final PMQs. He thanks Starmer for his l

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$305

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Will Starmer say "Violent" or "Violence" during the next PMQ? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.