Will Starmer say "Crime" or "Criminal" during the next PMQ? Odds fell to 51% on Jul 15, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will Starmer say "Crime" or "Criminal" during the next PMQ? On , the market’s odds fell from 66¢ to 50.5¢ (-15.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from telegraph.co.uk. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match66¢
+5m66¢
+30m50¢
+1h50.5¢
1h move-15.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Neutraltelegraph.co.uk99%match
Live: Sir Keir Starmer’s final speech at PMQs

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$616

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Will Starmer say "Crime" or "Criminal" during the next PMQ? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.