Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $85 in August? Odds jumped to 22% on Aug 5, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $85 in August? On , the market’s odds jumped from 13¢ to 22¢ (+9 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from forbes.com. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match13¢
+5m13¢
+30m22¢
+1h22¢
+24h27¢
1h move+9 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Yesforbes.com95%match
SpaceX Stock Down 9% On $18.4 Billion Capex Forecast. • Wall Street sees 86% upside for SpaceX stock but shares have already shed nearly half their value since peaking. The problem? Too much AI capex and not enough revenue.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$3K

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Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $85 in August? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for What will SpaceX (SPCX) hit in August 2026? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.