Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $80 in August? Odds fell to 15% on Aug 4, 2026

OpenMove

Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $80 in August? On , the market’s odds fell from 26¢ to 15¢ (-11 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from forbes.com.

How did the odds move?

At match26¢
+5m25¢
+30m24.5¢
+1h15¢
+24h16.5¢
1h move-11 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Yesforbes.com94%match
Nearly 1 Billion SpaceX Shares Unlock August 6. • Nearly 1 billion SpaceX shares unlock on August 6. This lock-up expiration will test whether demand can absorb a major supply increase after its thin-float IPO and debut.

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$4K

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Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $80 in August? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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