Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? Odds fell to 26% on Aug 5, 2026
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Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? On , the market’s odds fell from 34.5¢ to 26¢ (-8.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from money.udn.com.
How did the odds move?
34.5¢
34.5¢
34.5¢
26¢
32.5¢
-8.5 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
What moved the odds?
Yesmoney.udn.com95%match
Starship is expected to conduct its 14th test flight as early as the end of this month, marking its first attempt at land-based recovery of the upper-level spacecraft.
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
$61K
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Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
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