Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24? Odds jumped to 100% on Jul 24, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24? On , the market’s odds jumped from 75.5¢ to 99.7¢ (+24.2 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from theverge.com. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match75.5¢
+5m76¢
+30m83.5¢
+1h99.7¢
1h move+24.2 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 24, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 84¢ → 99.6¢+15.6 ptsafter a signal from elonmusk

What moved the odds?

Yestheverge.com96%match
The window for SpaceX’s 13th Starship test flight opens at 6:45PM ET.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$23K

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Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.