Will SCOTUS let Trump build the White House ballroom by September 30? Odds jumped to 74% on Aug 21, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: Yes
Will SCOTUS let Trump build the White House ballroom by September 30? On , the market’s odds jumped from 50.5¢ to 73.5¢ (+23 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from MeidasTouch Reporter. The market has since resolved Yes.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Aug 21, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 50.5¢ → 74.5¢+24 ptsafter a signal from News
- 50.5¢ → 74.5¢+24 ptsafter a signal from Reuters
- 72¢ → 99.5¢+27.5 ptsafter a signal from washingtonpost.com
- 72¢ → 99.5¢+27.5 ptsafter a signal from Walla Reporter
- 72¢ → 99.5¢+27.5 ptsafter a signal from ms.now
- 72¢ → 99.5¢+27.5 ptsafter a signal from CBS Reporter
- 72.5¢ → 99.5¢+27 ptsafter a signal from lefigaro.fr
- 72.5¢ → 99.5¢+27 ptsafter a signal from franceinfo.fr
- 72.5¢ → 99.5¢+27 ptsafter a signal from nytimes.com
- 72.5¢ → 99.5¢+27 ptsafter a signal from cnbc
- 73.5¢ → 99.5¢+26 ptsafter a signal from nypost.com
- 74.5¢ → 99.5¢+25 ptsafter a signal from abcnews.com
What moved the odds?
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
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Will SCOTUS let Trump build the White House ballroom by September 30? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.