Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15? Odds jumped to 53% on Oct 11, 2026
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Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15? On , the market’s odds jumped from 34¢ to 53¢ (+19 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Flightradar.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Oct 11, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 54.5¢ → 89¢+34.5 ptsafter a signal from Ukrainian Public Broadcaster
- 54¢ → 88¢+34 ptsafter a signal from Iran Semi-Official Tasnim
- 49¢ → 88¢+39 ptsafter a signal from Iranian Media
- 88¢ → 78¢-10 ptsafter a signal from Semi-Official YJC News Agency
- 88¢ → 77.5¢-10.5 ptsafter a signal from Iran Semi-Official SNN
- 88.5¢ → 31.5¢-57 ptsafter a signal from Iran Semi-Official Fars
- 84¢ → 44¢-40 ptsafter a signal from news.sky.com
- 78¢ → 40.5¢-37.5 ptsafter a signal from iranintlbrk
What moved the odds?
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 41% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
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Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for Riyadh airport closed to departures for 24 hours — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.