Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Odds jumped to 91% on Aug 25, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: Yes
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? On , the market’s odds jumped from 57¢ to 91¢ (+34 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from nytimes.com. The market has since resolved Yes.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Aug 25, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 57.3¢ → 93.2¢+35.9 ptsafter a signal from nytimes.com
- 57.3¢ → 99.4¢+42.1 ptsafter a signal from MS NOW Reporter
- 76.5¢ → 99.4¢+22.9 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
- 82.6¢ → 99.6¢+17 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
- 80¢ → 99.6¢+19.6 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
- 86.8¢ → 99.7¢+12.9 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
- 87.6¢ → 99.7¢+12.1 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
- 88.6¢ → 99.7¢+11.2 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
- 87.7¢ → 99.7¢+12 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
- 86.7¢ → 99.8¢+13.1 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
- 90.7¢ → 99.8¢+9.2 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
- 90.5¢ → 99.7¢+9.2 ptsafter a signal from nytimes.com
What moved the odds?
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
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Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.