Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Odds fell to 59% on Jul 30, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? On , the market’s odds fell from 67.6¢ to 59.1¢ (-8.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from CNN Reporter. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match67.6¢
+5m65.4¢
+30m57.5¢
+1h59.1¢
+24h57.1¢
1h move-8.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

YesCNN Reporter95%match
Impact of Trump's endorsement of Darline Graham: • • No impact 53 • More likely to support her 29 • Less likely to support her 18 • • #SCSEN

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$2.4M

Follow this market

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.