Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Odds jumped to 23% on Jul 17, 2026

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? On Jul 17, 2026, 13:08 UTC, the market’s odds jumped from 13.5¢ to 22.9¢ (+9.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Semafor Reporter. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 17, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

• Jul 17, 2026, 15:08 UTC25.6¢ → 40.5¢+15 ptsafter a signal from CBS Reporter
• Jul 17, 2026, 15:37 UTC27¢ → 55.7¢+28.7 ptsafter a signal from CBS Reporter
• Jul 17, 2026, 15:38 UTC27¢ → 55.8¢+28.8 ptsafter a signal from politico.com
• Jul 17, 2026, 16:04 UTC27¢ → 61.6¢+34.6 ptsafter a signal from NOTUS Reporter
• Jul 17, 2026, 16:15 UTC50.2¢ → 59.5¢+9.3 ptsafter a signal from AP Reporter
• Jul 17, 2026, 18:32 UTC56.3¢ → 80.6¢+24.3 ptsafter a signal from CNN Reporter
• Jul 17, 2026, 18:45 UTC57¢ → 81.2¢+24.2 ptsafter a signal from CBS Reporter
• Jul 17, 2026, 18:49 UTC51.7¢ → 78.6¢+26.9 ptsafter a signal from livesquawk
• Jul 17, 2026, 19:15 UTC53.3¢ → 74.8¢+21.6 ptsafter a signal from truthsocial.com
• Jul 17, 2026, 19:15 UTC64.6¢ → 74.8¢+10.2 ptsafter a signal from Reuters

What moved the odds?

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of Aug 30, 2026, 21:10 UTC.

Vol$2.4M

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Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.