Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? Odds jumped to 97% on Aug 12, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: Yes
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? On , the market’s odds jumped from 69.5¢ to 96.8¢ (+27.3 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from nytimes.com. The market has since resolved Yes.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Aug 12, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 69.5¢ → 96.8¢+27.3 ptsafter a signal from nytimes.com
- 74.5¢ → 97.2¢+22.7 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
What moved the odds?
Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
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Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.