Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? Odds fell to 33% on Sep 3, 2026

ResolvedMove

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? On , the market’s odds fell from 43.5¢ to 33¢ (-10.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from yna.co.kr. The market has since resolved.

How did the odds move?

At match43.5¢
+5m33.5¢
+30m32.5¢
+1h33¢
+24h25.5¢
1h move-10.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Neutralyna.co.kr95%match
OpenAI Unveils High-Ranked AI 'Astra'... "Welcome the Arrival of the AGI Era"

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$73K

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Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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