Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026? Odds jumped to 55% on Sep 1, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 27¢ to 54.5¢ (+27.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Reuters. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match27¢
+5m27.5¢
+30m39¢
+1h54.5¢
+24h92.5¢
1h move+27.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Sep 1, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 27¢ → 51.5¢+24.5 ptsafter a signal from fortune.com
  • 27¢ → 51.5¢+24.5 ptsafter a signal from wired.com
  • 27.5¢ → 55.5¢+28 ptsafter a signal from faststocknewss
  • 39¢ → 58.5¢+19.5 ptsafter a signal from openai

What moved the odds?

NeutralReuters94%match
OpenAI: Plan to Make Astra Available Soon, but Access to Its Most Advanced Cybersecurity Capabilities Will Be More Limited

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$73K

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Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for OpenAI’s Astra released — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.