Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026? Odds jumped to 62% on Sep 1, 2026
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Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 29.5¢ to 61.5¢ (+32 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Reuters.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Sep 1, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 29.5¢ → 59.5¢+30 ptsafter a signal from fortune.com
- 29.5¢ → 61¢+31.5 ptsafter a signal from wired.com
- 31.5¢ → 60.5¢+29 ptsafter a signal from faststocknewss
- 43.5¢ → 64.5¢+21 ptsafter a signal from openai
What moved the odds?
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 67% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
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Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
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