Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? Odds fell to 40% on Aug 7, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? On , the market’s odds fell from 64.5¢ to 40¢ (-24.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from zoomerfied. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match64.5¢
+5m45¢
+30m54¢
+1h40¢
+24h22¢
1h move-24.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Aug 7, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 64.5¢ → 40¢-24.5 ptsafter a signal from News

What moved the odds?

Nozoomerfied95%match
[ ZOOMER ] • • OPENAI TO SLOW DOWN DEVELOPMENT ON ITS NEW ASTRA MODEL AS THEY CANNOT RULE OUT CRITICAL CYBER CAPABILITIES, WHILST POLYMARKET⁠.COM ODDS IT IS RELEASED BY THE END OF THIS MONTH SIT AT 66%: AXIOS

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$162K

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Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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