Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026? Odds fell to 38% on Sep 4, 2026

The first item in “News Items from @EllisItems signals that this AI announcement might be the one the public remembers: • • “1. 1. OpenAI’s next big model is here: GPT-6 Astra. The company calls it a ‘generational leap in capability’ for areas like cybersecurity, professional work, software engineering, science, and computer use. As OpenAI announced earlier this week, it’s also the first model designated as meeting OpenAI’s ‘critical cybersecurity capability threshold’ — but the company promises that won’t lead to a repeat of its models hacking a rival company’s internal systems. ‘If we fast-forward a couple of years, and we look back and say, ‘When was it, really, that AGI was created?’ I think it’s going to be about this time, and I think it might be about this model,’ OpenAI president Greg Brockman said during a Thursday press briefing. Later in the call, he added, ‘For me personally, I do think we’re there … I think it’s not unreasonable to feel that we are now in the AGI era.’ (Sources: