Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026? Odds jumped to 25% on Jul 18, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 16.3¢ to 25.2¢ (+9 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Ukrainian Media. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match16.3¢
+5m16.2¢
+30m26.6¢
+1h25.2¢
+24h40.5¢
1h move+9 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 18, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 26.5¢ → 34.9¢+8.4 ptsafter a signal from Russian Media
  • 32.7¢ → 24.7¢-8 ptsafter a signal from Russian Media - MOD

What moved the odds?

YesUkrainian Media97%match
Zelensky considering firing commander-in-chief amid growing protests – media Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is ready to replace the commander-in-chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Oleksandr Syrsky, if he finds a replacement who can ensure a smooth transition of command, The Financial Times reports. The current situation is called the biggest crisis of the military leadership during Zelensky's presidency. So this weekend he is organizing a meeting with military commanders to listen to their assessments of the situation on the front and conduct interviews with candidates for the position of the new army commander. ...

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$393K

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Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Oleksandr Syrskyi out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.