Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026? Odds jumped to 49% on Jul 18, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 31.5¢ to 49¢ (+17.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Ukrainian Media. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match31.5¢
+5m33¢
+30m37.5¢
+1h49¢
+24h70.5¢
1h move+17.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 18, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 39¢ → 47¢+8 ptsafter a signal from Ukrainian Media
  • 48¢ → 57¢+9 ptsafter a signal from Russian Media - MOD
  • 59.5¢ → 46¢-13.5 ptsafter a signal from Russian Media
  • 59.5¢ → 46¢-13.5 ptsafter a signal from Ukrainian Media

What moved the odds?

YesUkrainian Media96%match
Zelensky is considering replacing Syrsky: the president will hold meetings with potential candidates for the post of commander-in-chief This is reported by the Financial Times, citing a high-ranking interlocutor in the President's Office. According to the publication's source, this weekend Zelensky will meet with military commanders to listen to their assessment of the situation on the front and conduct interviews with possible candidates for the post of commander-in-chief. According to the FT, a decision to change the leadership can be made only if a candidate is found who will ensure continuous command of the troops on the more than 1,200-kilometer front line. Officially, the President's Office and the General Staff did not comment on this information. Add News.LIVE as a reliable news source on Google

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$169K

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Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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