Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? Odds fell to 37% on Jul 17, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? On , the market’s odds fell from 45¢ to 37¢ (-8 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from dj. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match45¢
+5m45¢
+30m35.5¢
+1h37¢
+24h40¢
1h move-8 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Nodj94%match
*Apple's Market Capitalization Rises Above Nvidia's -- WSJ

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$314K

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Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for 2nd Largest Company end of July? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.