Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? Odds jumped to 61% on Jul 17, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: Yes
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? On , the market’s odds jumped from 52¢ to 60.5¢ (+8.5 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from zerohedge. The market has since resolved Yes.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Jul 17, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 52.5¢ → 60.5¢+8 ptsafter a signal from bild.de
- 52.5¢ → 60.5¢+8 ptsafter a signal from telegraph.co.uk
- 52.5¢ → 60.5¢+8 ptsafter a signal from ft.com
- 51¢ → 60¢+9 ptsafter a signal from cnbc.com
- 51¢ → 60¢+9 ptsafter a signal from dj
- 51¢ → 60¢+9 ptsafter a signal from dj
What moved the odds?
Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
$3.6M
Follow this market
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for Largest Company end of July? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.