Will no final Senate confirmation vote be held for Todd Blanche as Attorney General by December 31, 2026? Odds fell to 10% on Aug 3, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will no final Senate confirmation vote be held for Todd Blanche as Attorney General by December 31, 2026? On , the market’s odds fell from 27.7¢ to 10.4¢ (-17.3 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from foxnews. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match27.7¢
+5m27.7¢
+30m22.6¢
+1h10.4¢
+24h5.5¢
1h move-17.3 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Aug 3, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 22.7¢ → 7.7¢-15 ptsafter a signal from Punchbowl Reporter

What moved the odds?

Nofoxnews97%match
Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche is one step closer to winning Senate confirmation after agreeing to scrap a controversial $1.8 billion "anti-weaponization fund" that had stalled his nomination. • • Blanche also narrowed tax protections tied to the Trump administration's IRS settlement, making clear they apply only to past tax filings, not future ones, satisfying concerns raised by Republican Sens. John Cornyn and Thom Tillis after they delayed an earlier committee vote. • • The Senate Judiciary Committee is expected to vote on Blanche's nomination as Attorney General this week, with Republicans needing every GOP member on board to advance his confirmation as Democrats remain unanimously opposed.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$5K

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Will no final Senate confirmation vote be held for Todd Blanche as Attorney General by December 31, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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