Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31? Odds jumped to 54% on Jul 6, 2026
OpenMove
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31? On , the market’s odds jumped from 43¢ to 53.5¢ (+10.5 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from n12news.
How did the odds move?
At match43¢
+5m43¢
+30m50.5¢
+1h53.5¢
+24h41.5¢
1h move+10.5 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
What moved the odds?
Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.
▼Non12news99%match
Lebanese President Joseph Aoun in an interview with the Lebanese newspaper An-Nahar: There is no truth to the reports of a meeting with Netanyahu, I am not considering it and I will not respond to it - as long as the Israeli attacks against Lebanese citizens and the violations on their territory continue. If we ever have the opportunity to meet in the same room, I will leave immediately
@sapirlipkin
▼NoChannel 12 (N12)99%match
Sapir Lipkin
Lebanese President Joseph Aoun in an interview with the Lebanese newspaper An-Nahar: There is no truth in the reports of a meeting with Netanyahu, I am not considering it and I will not respond to it - as long as the Israeli attacks against Lebanese citizens and the violations on their territory continue. If we had the opportunity to meet in the same room, I would leave immediately
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 14% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .